# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2026-02-09 · 19 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB09 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:46:16Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-09 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Tom Llamas with President Donald Trump in an exclusive interview, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	174	123	0.71	nnYnnYYnnn	1	1	0.67	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	78	52	0.67	nYYYYYnYnn	1	1	0.67	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	101	64	0.63	YYYYYnnnnn	1	1	0.66	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	22	8	0.36	nnnnnnnYYn	1	1	0.58	hist	no
Election	election	63	37	0.59	nnYYYnYnYn	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	120	82	0.68	nnYYYnYYYn	1	1	0.55	hist	no
China	china	111	70	0.63	nnnYYnnnYn	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Border	border	97	59	0.61	YYYYnYnYYn	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Turning Point	turning point	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	139	75	0.54	nnnnnnnYnn	1	1	0.44	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	95	40	0.42	nnnnYYnYnn	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	68	16	0.24	YYYYnnYnnn	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	0	0			1	0	0.38	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	51	21	0.41	YnYnnnnYYn	1	1	0.36	hist	yes
Highest Inflation	highest inflation	7	3	0.43	YnYYnnn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	12	4	0.33	nnYnnnnYnn	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Credit	credit	11	4	0.36	YnnYnnnYYn	1	1	0.31	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	263	26	0.1	nnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.1	hist	no
NFL	nfl	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	no