# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-10 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT10 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:48:27Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-10 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral meeting with President of Finland on October 9th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	62	51	0.82	YYYYYYYnYY	0.83	hist	yes
Border	border	32	22	0.69	YYnYnYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	8	5	0.62	nnnYYYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Election	election	12	9	0.75	YYnYnYYYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Deal	deal	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.62	hist	yes
Peace	peace	15	10	0.67	nYYYnnYYnY	0.62	hist	yes
Hamas	hama	19	10	0.53	YnYnYYnnYY	0.54	hist	no
Putin	putin	39	27	0.69	YYYYYnnnYn	0.53	hist	no
Russia	russia	32	18	0.56	nnYYYnnnnY	0.45	hist	yes
Israel	israel	38	21	0.55	nnYnYYYnnY	0.45	hist	yes
NATO	nato	29	13	0.45	YYnYYYnnnY	0.43	hist	yes
Economy	economy	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.41	hist	yes
Windmill	windmill	1	1	1	Y	0.38	hist	no
Forest	forest	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Socialist	socialist	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Golf	golf	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Drone	drone	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Oil	oil	17	4	0.24	nnnnYYnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Helsinki	helsinki	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Nordic	nordic	0	0			0.41	prior	no