Will Donald Trump say “Socialist”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Socialist” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

35%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=socialist

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Socialist

Probability
35% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 7:34In transcript

…better not. But Nixon is a card carrying member of the Democrat Socialists of America, the Communist, whose official platform calls for abolishing the US…

The PressreporterDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:04:48In transcript

…coming from France at the moment. How concerned are you that the socialist agenda will bring some of those same financial difficulties to the United…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 31, 2026SocialistPolymarketNo
Oct 16, 2025SocialistKalshiNo
Oct 10, 2025SocialistKalshiNo
Oct 9, 2025SocialistKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Socialist”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Socialist” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Socialist” next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Socialist’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/socialist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP