Will Donald Trump say “Job”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Job” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 6, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Job
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 5 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…level, most successful level in American history. Poverty. So, income, poverty, more jobs. Here's another one. African-American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, Asian-American poverty, Native…
…in 125 years since 1900. And when Ashley goes to Washington DC where Joanie has spent a lot of very prosperous years. Great job Joanie.
…And now I'd like to ask a man who's done an incredible job. Attorney General Todd Blanche. to say a few words. Thank you very…
…seen before. When you go out there and you look at the jobs, look at the construction jobs. We have more construction jobs. They're building…
…JD and the Untouchables behind me are -- they've done an incredible job. They've sought out and found tremendous amounts of fraud in various states…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Job”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Job” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 6, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Job” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Job’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/job (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=job · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP