# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-08-06 · 25 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25AUG06 · as_of 2026-10-25T17:34:50Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-08-06 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25AUG06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of The President's Announcement originally scheduled for 4:30PM ET on August 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	27	24	0.89	YYYnYYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	23	20	0.87	YnYYnYYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Biden	biden	40	32	0.8	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	hist	yes
Trade	trade	7	6	0.86	nYYYYYY	0.69	hist	no
India	india	8	7	0.88	YnYYYYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Investment	investment	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	22	15	0.68	YnYnYYnYYn	0.53	hist	yes
Apple	apple	8	6	0.75	nYYnYYYY	0.5	hist	yes
EU / European Union	eu|european union	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.47	hist	yes
Chip	chip	8	5	0.62	YnYYnYnY	0.46	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	15	9	0.6	nnYnnYYnYn	0.46	hist	yes
Economy	economy	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Autopen	autopen	11	6	0.55	nYnYnYYYnn	0.43	hist	no
Golden	golden	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	42	11	0.26	nnnnnnYnYn	0.38	hist	yes
Too Late	too late	2	1	0.5	nY	0.35	hist	no
Defense	defense	8	2	0.25	nYnnnYnn	0.29	hist	no
Powell	powell	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.29	hist	no
Immigration	immigration	4	0	0	nnnn	0.28	hist	no
Cook	cook	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Data	data	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Hottest	hottest	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
iPhone	iphone	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Job	job	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Labor	labor	0	0			0.36	prior	no