Prime Minister's Questions, Oct 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
Markets
17 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Reform | Yes | 54%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Energy | Yes | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Benefit / Welfare | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| EU / European Union | Yes | 29%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 29%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | Yes | 21%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 61%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 40%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| King | No | 38%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Brexit | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| NHS / Healthcare | No | 36%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 33%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 15%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 16:39 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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