Will “King” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “King” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 5 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

32%from settlement history only · n=10counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=king

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

King

Probability
32% · n=10
Settled
5/10 (50%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 1 of 4 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Andy BurnhamspeakerqaIn transcript

…Speaker. On my engagements, this evening I will join Their Majesties the King and Queen and President Macron at the British Museum to celebrate the…

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026KingKalshiNo–
Sep 16, 2026KingKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026KingKalshiNo0
Sep 2, 2026KingKalshiYes1
Aug 26, 2026KingPolymarketYes–
Jun 17, 2026KingKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026KingKalshiNo0
Jun 3, 2026KingKalshiYes1
May 20, 2026KingKalshiYes1
Apr 29, 2026KingKalshiYes2

Questions

How often is “King” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “King” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 5 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 2, 2026.
What is the probability “King” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘King’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/king (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=king · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP