Will “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 4, 2026 (22%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 27% · n=9
- Settled
- 2/9 (22%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…in the country, including her constituents in Bath, can benefit from clean, affordable and locally generated energy. If she wishes to have a meeting with…
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 4, 2026 (22%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP