Will “Brexit” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Brexit” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 20¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Brexit
- Probability
- 26% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…all that he has rightly said about the damage that the Conservatives’ Brexit has done to our economy, that he will wait until after the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…than the Leader of the Opposition if he is ever asked the question, “Has Brexit been good or bad for London?” What is his answer?
…low growth that we have had has been partly a result of Brexit. The sooner the Conservative party accepts that, the more we can start…
…faith from Anglican to Catholic and from the Conservative party to the Brexit party, but she always remained part of the Conservative family. You might…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…with numbers. He was the Foreign Secretary in the Government who botched Brexit, the Home Secretary in the Government who decimated neighbourhood policing and one…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Brexit” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Brexit” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Brexit” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Brexit’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/brexit (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=brexit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP