Will “AI / Artificial Intelligence” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (14%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 29% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…On the broader issue, the right hon. Gentleman is absolutely right that AI poses risks to our national security, but it could also be the…
…Intelligence to the Cabinet. We have lifted the level of conversation about artificial intelligence within Government, and the offer is open to colleagues on all…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Artificial Intelligence / AI |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Artificial Intelligence / AI | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 19, 2025 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “AI / Artificial Intelligence” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (14%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “AI / Artificial Intelligence” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP