Will “Immigrant / Immigration” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Immigrant / Immigration” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 26 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (12%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=26, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

13%from settlement history only · n=26Next: PMQs, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
17¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Immigrant / Immigration

Probability
13% · n=26
Settled
3/26 (12%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 0 of 4 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Maureen Burke (Glasgow North East) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 14 October 2026 · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…must have an honest discussion about the city’s pressures, including addiction, deprivation, immigration and community cohesion. While SNP underfunding has crippled local public services, and…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

David LammyspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 8 July 2026 · Jul 8, 2026In transcript

…Minister, the former Communities Secretary, the former Health Minister and the former Immigration Minister—and that is just the right hon. Member for Newark (Robert Jenrick)—wrecked…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · settled no

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not said

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not said

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not said

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · settled no

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 26 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo–
Sep 16, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Sep 9, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Sep 2, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Aug 26, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationPolymarketNo–
Jun 17, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Jun 10, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiYes1
Jun 3, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
May 20, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Mar 25, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Mar 18, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Mar 11, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Mar 4, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Feb 25, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Jan 22, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Jan 15, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiYes1
Jan 14, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationPolymarketYes–
Jan 8, 2026Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Dec 18, 2025Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Dec 11, 2025Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Dec 4, 2025Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Nov 27, 2025Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0
Nov 20, 2025Immigrant / ImmigrationKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Immigrant / Immigration” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Immigrant / Immigration” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 26 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 20, 2025 (12%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Immigrant / Immigration” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
13%, from settlement history (n=26). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP