Mark Carney: Interview, May 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Mark Carney say during his remarks at the Economic Club of New York?
Markets
14 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| NATO | Yes | 73%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 73%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Defense / Defence | Yes | 72%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Arctic | Yes | 70%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 69%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Tax | Yes | 65%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | Yes | 60%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | Yes | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 26%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 18%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26MAY29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP