Will JD Vance say “Economy”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Economy” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025 (43%), most recently on Dec 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. No rallies among them yet.
- Last 10
- 3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 59¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Economy
- Probability
- 39% · n=7
- Settled
- 3/7 (43%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…little bit of time to rebuild the foundation of America's middle class economy. I think we've made incredible strides. But our argument to the American…
…the broader region win. Iran is weakened, their nuclear program destroyed, their economy in desperate straits. And if they change their behavior, big things are…
…AI is going to be an important tool, not just for our economy, but for our military. And so, he wants to ensure that we…
…they recognize the illogic of the position of taking the entire American economy hostage because they don't get their policy priorities. So three moderate Democrats…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Economy”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance said “Economy” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 28, 2025 (43%), most recently on Dec 16, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Economy” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Economy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/economy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=economy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP