Jacob Frey

Politics · Governors & mayorsPersonMachine-attributedUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 06:04 UTC

Export

Copy

---

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnarOpen as Markdowntable

GET /api/v1/entity/jacob-frey

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 67 word markets on Jacob Frey’s appearances since 2026, on 28 different words; most reliably said: “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” (3 of 6).

History Wall

1–28 of 28, most settled first

Jacob Frey: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Jan 15interview	Jan 19episode	Jan 22interview	Feb 13interview	Feb 25remarks	May 19latest	Last 6	Settled	Probability
Protest / Protester	YSettled yes: Protest / Protester, Jan 15 interview	1 time: Protest / Protester, Jan 19 episode, counts as said	YSettled yes: Protest / Protester, Jan 22 interview	NSettled no: Protest / Protester, Feb 13 interview	NSettled no: Protest / Protester, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Protest / Protester, May 19 keynote	3/650%	3/650%	39%n=5 from settlement history
Republican	NSettled no: Republican, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Republican, Jan 19 episode	NSettled no: Republican, Jan 22 interview	YSettled yes: Republican, Feb 13 interview	YSettled yes: Republican, Feb 25 remarks	YSettled yes: Republican, May 19 keynote	3/650%	3/650%	55%n=5 from settlement history
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	YSettled yes: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 15 interview	1 time: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 19 episode, counts as said	YSettled yes: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 22 interview	NSettled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Feb 13 interview	NSettled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, May 19 keynote	3/650%	3/650%	39%n=5 from settlement history
Discriminate / Discriminating / Discrimination	YSettled yes: Discriminate / Discriminating / Discrimination, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Discriminate / Discriminating / Discrimination, Jan 19 episode	YSettled yes: Discriminate / Discriminating / Discrimination, Jan 22 interview	NSettled no: Discriminate / Discriminating / Discrimination, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Discriminate / Discriminating / Discrimination, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Discriminate / Discriminating / Discrimination, May 19 keynote	2/540%	2/540%	43%n=4 from settlement history
Fraud	YSettled yes: Fraud, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Fraud, Jan 19 episode	NSettled no: Fraud, Jan 22 interview	NSettled no: Fraud, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Fraud, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Fraud, May 19 keynote	1/520%	1/520%	35%n=4 from settlement history
Investigate / Investigated / Investigation	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Jan 19 episode	YSettled yes: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Jan 22 interview	YSettled yes: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Feb 13 interview	NSettled no: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Investigate / Investigated / Investigation, May 19 keynote	2/450%	2/450%	43%n=4 from settlement history
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Jan 15 interview	1 time: Trump, Jan 19 episode, counts as said	–Not listed: Trump, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Trump, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Trump, Feb 25 remarks	YSettled yes: Trump, May 19 keynote	3/3100%	3/3100%	59%n=2 from settlement history
Walz / Governor	–Not listed: Walz / Governor, Jan 15 interview	2 times: Walz / Governor, Jan 19 episode, counts as said	YSettled yes: Walz / Governor, Jan 22 interview	NSettled no: Walz / Governor, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Walz / Governor, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Walz / Governor, May 19 keynote	2/367%	2/367%	50%n=2 from settlement history
Invaded / Invading / Invasion	–Not listed: Invaded / Invading / Invasion, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Invaded / Invading / Invasion, Jan 19 episode	YSettled yes: Invaded / Invading / Invasion, Jan 22 interview	YSettled yes: Invaded / Invading / Invasion, Feb 13 interview	NSettled no: Invaded / Invading / Invasion, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Invaded / Invading / Invasion, May 19 keynote	2/367%	2/367%	50%n=3 from settlement history
Self Defense	YSettled yes: Self Defense, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Self Defense, Jan 19 episode	NSettled no: Self Defense, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Self Defense, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Self Defense, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Self Defense, May 19 keynote	1/333%	1/333%	50%n=2 from settlement history
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 13 interview	YSettled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 19 keynote	1/250%	1/250%	43%n=2 from settlement history
Investigate / Investigation	YSettled yes: Investigate / Investigation, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Investigate / Investigation, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigation, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigation, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigation, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Investigate / Investigation, May 19 keynote	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump / President	–Not listed: Trump / President, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Trump / President, Jan 19 episode	YSettled yes: Trump / President, Jan 22 interview	NSettled no: Trump / President, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Trump / President, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Trump / President, May 19 keynote	1/250%	1/250%	50%n=2 from settlement history
Corrupt / Corruption	–Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 13 interview	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Corrupt / Corruption, May 19 keynote	0/20%	0/20%	33%n=2 from settlement history
Invade / Invading / Invasion	NSettled no: Invade / Invading / Invasion, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Invade / Invading / Invasion, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Invade / Invading / Invasion, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Invade / Invading / Invasion, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Invade / Invading / Invasion, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Invade / Invading / Invasion, May 19 keynote	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Chaos	–Not listed: Chaos, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Chaos, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Chaos, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Chaos, Feb 13 interview	YSettled yes: Chaos, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Chaos, May 19 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ICE / DHS	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: ICE / DHS, Feb 25 remarks	YSettled yes: ICE / DHS, May 19 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Federal	–Not listed: Federal, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Federal, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Federal, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Federal, Feb 13 interview	YSettled yes: Federal, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Federal, May 19 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Homan	–Not listed: Homan, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Homan, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Homan, Jan 22 interview	YSettled yes: Homan, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Homan, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Homan, May 19 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ICE / National Guard	–Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Feb 13 interview	YSettled yes: ICE / National Guard, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: ICE / National Guard, May 19 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Immigrant / Immigration	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Feb 25 remarks	YSettled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, May 19 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Safe / Safer / Safety	–Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Feb 13 interview	YSettled yes: Safe / Safer / Safety, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, May 19 keynote	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Accountable / Accountability	–Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Feb 13 interview	NSettled no: Accountable / Accountability, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, May 19 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Daycare / Day Care	–Not listed: Daycare / Day Care, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Daycare / Day Care, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Daycare / Day Care, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Daycare / Day Care, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Daycare / Day Care, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Daycare / Day Care, May 19 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 25 remarks	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 19 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Mask / Masked	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jan 15 interview	0 times: Mask / Masked, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Mask / Masked, May 19 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–
Renee / Pretti	–Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Renee / Pretti, Feb 13 interview	NSettled no: Renee / Pretti, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Renee / Pretti, May 19 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Walz	NSettled no: Walz, Jan 15 interview	–Not listed: Walz, Jan 19 episode	–Not listed: Walz, Jan 22 interview	–Not listed: Walz, Feb 13 interview	–Not listed: Walz, Feb 25 remarks	–Not listed: Walz, May 19 keynote	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/jacob-frey · words: /api/v1/history?entity=jacob-frey · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP