Will Jacob Frey say “Investigate / Investigated / Investigation”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Investigate / Investigated / Investigation” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jacob Frey
Investigate / Investigated / Investigation
- Probability
- 43% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We followed the exact same protocols that we always have for years as to investigations into these situations.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Investigate / Investigated / Investigation |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jacob Frey say “Investigate / Investigated / Investigation”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Investigate / Investigated / Investigation” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Investigate / Investigated / Investigation” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Investigate / Investigated / Investigation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/investigate-or-investigated-or-investigation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=investigate%20%2F%20investigated%20%2F%20investigation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP