Will Jacob Frey say “Federal”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Federal” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 25, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jacob Frey
Federal
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…at a place right now where the Department of Justice or the federal government could be coming after senators and governors and mayors simply for…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Federal |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jacob Frey say “Federal”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Federal” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Federal” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Federal’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/federal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=federal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP