Will Jacob Frey say “Walz / Governor”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Walz / Governor” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

50%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=governor%20%2F%20walz

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jacob Frey

Walz / Governor

Probability
50% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jacob Frey say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during the State of the Swamp? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Jacob Frey say during his NewsNation interview? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jacob Frey say during Face the Nation? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted; 8 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jacob FreyguestIn transcript

…of Justice or the federal government could be coming after senators and governors and mayors simply for speaking for their respective constituencies and disagreeing with…

Jacob FreyguestIn transcript

…our local police officers. It is the state of Minnesota and our governor. We are doing everything possible to keep the peace, notwithstanding this occupying…

Every match in the transcript

What will Jacob Frey say during Fox & Friends? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 13, 2026Walz / GovernorKalshiNo–
Jan 22, 2026Walz / GovernorKalshiYes–
Jan 19, 2026Walz / GovernorKalshiYes2

Questions

How often does Jacob Frey say “Walz / Governor”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Walz / Governor” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Walz / Governor” next time?
50%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Walz / Governor’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/governor-or-walz (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=governor%20%2F%20walz · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP