Will Jacob Frey say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

43%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jacob Frey

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Probability
43% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jacob Frey say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

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What will Jacob Frey say during the State of the Swamp? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jacob Frey say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during his NewsNation interview? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during Fox & Friends? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 19, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiNo
Feb 25, 2026Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Jacob Frey say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026.
What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP