Will Jacob Frey say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jacob Frey
Trump
- Probability
- 59% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 17 by speakers the rule does not count.
…standing up for their neighbors. And this is not just about resisting Trump. This is about loving and caring for the people that call this…
…officials and federal ones got even wider. And America's views of President Trump's immigration policies erode as he hits the one-year-in-office mark. We will talk…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Jacob Frey say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Trump” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP