What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?

55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Jacob Frey say “Immigrant / Immigration”?

Name: Jacob Frey: “Immigrant / Immigration” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Immigrant / Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 19, 2026.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 07:17 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jacob Frey

Immigrant / Immigration

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 1 transcript: said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), January 18, 2026 · Jan 18, 2026In transcript

…and federal ones got even wider. And America's views of President Trump's immigration policies erode as he hits the one-year-in-office mark. We will talk exclusively…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Jacob Frey say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jacob Frey say during the State of the Swamp? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during his MS NOW interview? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during his NewsNation interview? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jacob Frey say during Fox & Friends? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 19, 2026	Immigrant / Immigration	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Jacob Frey say “Immigrant / Immigration”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Immigrant / Immigration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 19, 2026.
What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Immigrant / Immigration” next time?: 55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP