Will Jacob Frey say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jacob Frey did not say “Corrupt / Corruption” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jacob Frey
Corrupt / Corruption
- Probability
- 33% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Corrupt / Corruption | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Jacob Frey say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jacob Frey did not say “Corrupt / Corruption” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Corrupt / Corruption” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP