Will Jacob Frey say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

39%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jacob Frey

Somali / Somalia / Somalian

Probability
39% · n=6
Settled
3/6 (50%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jacob Frey say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

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What will Jacob Frey say during the State of the Swamp? · settled no

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What will Jacob Frey say during his MS NOW interview? · settled no

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What will Jacob Frey say during his NewsNation interview? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Jacob Frey say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Jacob FreyguestIn transcript

What this is about is coming into our city by the thousands and terrorizing people simply because they're Latino or Somali.

What will Jacob Frey say during Fox & Friends? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 19, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo–
Feb 25, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo–
Feb 13, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo–
Jan 22, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes–
Jan 19, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes1
Jan 15, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Jacob Frey say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 15, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Somali / Somalia / Somalian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/somali-or-somalia-or-somalian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP