Will Jacob Frey say “Trump / President”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Trump / President” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Jan 18, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jacob Frey
Trump / President
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…standing up for their neighbors. And this is not just about resisting Trump. This is about loving and caring for the people that call this…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Trump / President |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Trump / President | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jacob Frey say “Trump / President”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jacob Frey said “Trump / President” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Jacob Frey says “Trump / President” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jacob Frey: ‘Trump / President’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jacob-frey/words/president-or-trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jacob-frey&word=president%20%2F%20trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jacob-frey&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP