Congressional hearings, Jun 29, 2026
Kalshi What will the witnesses say during House hearing on the CIA’s MKULTRA Project?
Markets
17 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: any witness Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| German / Germany | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Canada / Canadian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Experiment / Experimented | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Frank Olson / Olson | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hypnosis | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| JFK / Kennedy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| LSD | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Manson | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mind Control | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Brainwash / Brainwashed / Brainwashing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Consent / Consensual | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Declassify / Declassified | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Project Bluebird | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soviet Union | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Truth Serum | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | No | 56%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP