Will “Russia / Russian” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said on World News Tonight in 8 of 20 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (40%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=20, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 5.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Russia / Russian
- Probability
- 48% · n=20
- Settled
- 8/20 (40%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
8 counted.
…temperatures set to plunge. Lee Goldberg is here with the forecast. Tonight, Russia's new assault on Ukraine, and President Zelensky says they feel betrayed by…
David? Lee Goldberg with us here tonight. Lee, thank you. Overseas tonight, Russia had a punishing new attack on Ukraine. And tonight, President Zelensky now…
Counts: any host or reporter
7 counted.
…Republicans and Democrats over his controversial deal to import diesel fuel from Russia to ease record-breaking prices here in the U.S. because of the war…
…and Democrats over his controversial deal to import diesel fuel now from Russia to ease the record-breaking prices here in the U.S. because of the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 20 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Russia / Russian |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | 8 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | 13 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Russia / Russian” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said on World News Tonight in 8 of 20 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (40%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Russia / Russian” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=20). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP