ABC World News Tonight, September 9, 2026
On the Sep 9, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 7 of the 17 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 16 of 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 17- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple / iPhone | Yes | 20 | 20 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 59%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 38%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Hurricane | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Amazon / 767 | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Renoir | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Abortion / Mifepristone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Natalie Harp | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NFL | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| US Open | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…jurors in the Lindsay Clancy murder trial and what he reveals. Tonight, Apple's major reveal, the biggest change ever to the iPhone. You'll see it…
…most trusted. Now on Disney Plus every night. Tonight breaking news, President Trump stuck on the tarmac, the emergency slide deploying on the new Air…
…Wednesday night. We begin tonight with President Trump stuck on the tarmac, delayed on his trip to the first ever Republican midterm convention in Dallas.
…build support for Republican candidates in the midterms, with voters concerned about gas prices, grocery prices, and the war in Iran. ABC's Rachel Scott leading…
All those dangerous waves were brought on by remnants of Hurricane Marie, and Hawaii is still reeling from Hurricane Lowell, Arcana Whitworth in Kauai. Damage…
…late monarch. There's no word on how close the drone came to Zelensky's plane. Zelensky then flying to Canada today for talks with leaders there.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-09:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-09:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP