ABC World News Tonight, September 17, 2026
On the Sep 17, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 8 of the 18 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 17 of 18 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
18 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 18- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 15 | 15 | ✓ | 36%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Kennedy | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 11 | 11 | ✓ | 63%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| OpenAI | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 51%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Helicopter | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese / Xi | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 34%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 56%n=48 from settlement history | – |
| Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 51%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ed Sheeran / Macklemore | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mortgage | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gaza / Palestine | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…and what it could reveal tonight the new and alarming warnings over artificial intelligence the company open ai now disclosing six new incidents of quote
…the image through the window of Air Force One appearing to say Kennedy Center demolished. That image including President Trump. The president telling ABC News…
…Company and Affiliates. Price and coverage match limited by state law. Tonight, the image captured through the window of Air Force One with President Trump
…Morgan, thank you. Tonight, hear the new and alarming warnings over artificial intelligence. Now the company OpenAI disclosing six new incidents of, quote, concerning behavior.
…And Mary, there's been so much focus on the Kennedy Center, but tonight there's also news on energy prices, gas prices right here at home.
…tonight. Pierre, thank you. We turn this evening to that TV news helicopter that crashed. And tonight, the dramatic dash cam video of the chopper's…
…tonight we've learned the CEOs of OpenAI and chipmaker NVIDIA will attend a state dinner at the White House next week with Chinese President Xi.
Diesel rising to a record $6.43 a gallon. The war now well into its seventh month and with no end in sight. David. Mary Bruce,…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-17:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-17:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP