ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 19, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
15 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 48%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Moderna | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| North Korea / Kim Jong Un | Yes | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | 60%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 58%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | 40%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UAE / United Arab Emirates | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Meta / Facebook / Instagram | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | 31%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 24%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 20%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP