ABC World News Tonight, August 26, 2026
On the Aug 26, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 10 of the 28 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 23 of 28 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
28 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 23 of 28
Kalshibacktest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta / Facebook / Instagram | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Prince Harry / Meghan Markle | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Nepal | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Earthquake | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Las Vegas | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 56%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Canada | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Measles | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Lake America / Ontario | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 26%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Bessent | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Secret Service | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Alex Pretti | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Barron | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peptides / GLP-1 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spain | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Darline Graham | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Montana | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tupac | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Canada / Canadian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=24 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…will now face a military trial. Tonight, Metta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, agreeing to pay nearly $18 billion over claims of trying…
We have news coming in on Prince Harry and Meghan Markle tonight on this move. And a personal note here, something Dolly Parton once sent…
…outrun the disaster. American tourists among the hundreds of people missing in Nepal. Also tonight, the outpouring of affection for Dolly Parton. What we're now…
…this wall of water unleashed as much energy as a 5.2 magnitude earthquake. Some estimates put it as high as 160 feet. It's left behind…
…arrest tonight. Authorities say Zymir Hughes was arrested by U.S. Marshals in Las Vegas. He's accused of chasing and harassing at least 15 people, allegedly…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-08-26:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-08-26:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP