ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 13, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
15 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Powerball | Yes | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| USS Abraham Lincoln | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | 67%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 55%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Air Force One | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hormuz | No | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| AOC / Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apache | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harvard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| WNBA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| North Korea | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis | No | 35%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 27%n=17 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP