ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 12, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
13 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 65%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Turkey | Yes | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Lakers | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Powerball | Yes | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Eclipse | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 59%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Blanche | No | 48%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 48%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis | No | 38%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 28%n=16 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP