ABC World News Tonight, August 21, 2026
On the Aug 21, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 7 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 15 of 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 55%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Prince Harry / Meghan Markle | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Salmonella / E. Coli | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alaska | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 17%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 21%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Swalwell | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vance | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 14%n=22 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
Tonight, a temporary victory for President Trump. Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts giving him the green light to resume construction of his $400 million…
The case about to go to the jury. News tonight about Prince Harry and Meghan Markle's stunning move back to the UK. What may have…
…allowing the president to continue construction of his $400 million White House ballroom, at least for now. Let's go right to ABC's Rachel Scott. So,…
…until help arrived. When we come back, the CDC alert about outbreaks of E. coli and salmonella, possibly linked to alfalfa sprouts in multiple states.
…Truck or Fire Insurance Exchanges or Affiliate. Products not available in every state. Now to a deadly plane crash in a remote part of Alaska.
…the cost of living, President Trump says he is temporarily waiving a tariff on imported beef for 90 days. The administration says the imported beef…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-08-21:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-08-21:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP