ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Oct 20, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
16 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 69%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Flood / Flooding | Yes | 67%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 62%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| Diesel | Yes | 55%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Nor'easter | Yes | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Jalen Hurts | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Putin | Yes | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm | Yes | 47%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 37%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| France / French | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Macron | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Triumphal Arch | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GLP-1 / GLP | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Medicare | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 13:50 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26OCT20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP