ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Jul 7, 2026

Tue, Jul 7EpisodeHistory onlyABC World News Tonight

Updated

Markets

12 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Charlie / Kirk Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Graham Platner Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Turkey Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Belgium No–new new word, no probability yet–
China / Chinese No–new new word, no probability yet–
Khamenei / Supreme Leader No–new new word, no probability yet–
NATO No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Pfizer No–new new word, no probability yet–
Russia / Russian No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 3+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–
Zelenskyy No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP