Will “National Security” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was said on Fox News in 1 of 14 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (7%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

30%from settlement history only · n=14counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 8 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=national%20security

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

National Security

Probability
30% · n=14
Settled
1/14 (7%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 22, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo0
Aug 15, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Aug 8, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Jun 14, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
May 13, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
May 12, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
May 3, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Apr 15, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes–
Apr 6, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Apr 5, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Mar 8, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Feb 27, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Feb 24, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “National Security” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was said on Fox News in 1 of 14 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (7%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability “National Security” is said on Fox News next time?
30%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP