Fox News (interviews): Episode, Feb 24, 2026
Kalshi What will Bret Baier say during his show?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FBI | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| GDP | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marco Rubio | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26FEB24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP