Will “Iran” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on Fox News in 6 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=iran

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

Iran

Probability
38% · n=12
Settled
6/12 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

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What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · not listed

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What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 3, 2026IranKalshiNo
Apr 15, 2026IranKalshiYes
Apr 6, 2026IranKalshiNo
Apr 5, 2026IranKalshiYes
Apr 4, 2026IranKalshiNo
Mar 30, 2026IranKalshiNo
Mar 22, 2026IranKalshiNo
Mar 20, 2026IranKalshiYes
Mar 8, 2026IranKalshiYes
Feb 27, 2026IranKalshiYes
Feb 24, 2026IranKalshiYes
Feb 22, 2026IranKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Iran” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on Fox News in 6 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 22, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Iran” is said on Fox News next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP