Will Donald Trump say “Space / Moon”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Space / Moon” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Space / Moon
- Probability
- 43% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and shut down internet trafficking and domain networks across the cyber security space that participate in this global scam center enterprise. So, the whole of…
…were never there. It's all made in the USA. And I love Space Force because Space Force, you know, we had a great first term.…
…Donald Trump issued a new and effective statement that really has brought great peace and space through really a breakthrough that we thought was impossible.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Space / Moon |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Moon / Space | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Moon / Space | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (0 of 8 known appearances transcribed)) |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Moon / Space | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| May 24, 2026 | Space / Moon | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Space / Moon | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Space / Moon”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Space / Moon” at 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Space / Moon” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Space / Moon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/moon-or-space (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=moon%20%2F%20space · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP