Will Donald Trump say “Xi”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Xi” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

54%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Xi

Probability
54% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 29:35In transcript

…much more strongly with Iran and, likewise, China. As you know, President Xi was here a week ago, likewise, China could have participated a lot…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 44:36In transcript

…it from 1592. 1592. That's not that old when you because President Xi from China was here. You know, I was showing him I was…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland · Sep 23, 2026 · 1:36In transcript

…we had it for tomorrow night because we'd be able to—you know, we have a packed house tomorrow night for President Xi and Mrs. Xi.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 11, 2026XiKalshiYes–
May 24, 2026XiPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Xi”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Xi” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 11, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Xi” next time?
54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Xi’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/xi (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=xi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP