# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-04-18 (settled) · 20 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-322 · as_of 2026-10-27T18:11:59Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-04-18 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-322 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 12, 00:00 AM ET and April 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	27	8	0.3	nnYnnnYYYn	0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Egg	egg	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	0	0			0.46	hist	0	0	yes	1
McDonald's	mcdonald	26	16	0.62	YYYnnnnnnn	0.45	hist	0	0	no	1
Congo	congo	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Gold Card	gold card	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	0	0	yes	1
Weave / Weaver	weave|weaver	0	0			0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	3	0	0	nnn	0.39	hist	0	0	no	1
Stupid	stupid	2	0	0	nn	0.39	hist	0	0	yes	1
NATO	nato	6	1	0.17	nnnnnY	0.35	hist	0	0	yes	1
Peanut	peanut	0	0			0.35	hist	0	0	no	1
DOGE	doge	7	1	0.14	nnnYnnn	0.34	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	80	2	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	0	0	no	1
Ass	ass	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	no	1
Deranged	deranged	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	yes	1
Handicap	handicap	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	no	1
Shifty Schiff	shifty schiff	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	no	1
Witch Hunt	witch hunt	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	no	1
WTO / World Trade Organization	world trade organization|wto	0	0			0.42	prior	0	0	no	1