Will Donald Trump say “DOGE”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “DOGE” at 2 of 10 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 16, 2024 (20%), most recently on Aug 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
DOGE
- Probability
- 46% · n=10
- Settled
- 2/10 (20%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2025 | DOGE |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | DOGE | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 18, 2025 | DOGE | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 20, 2025 | DOGE | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 28, 2025 | DOGE | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DOGE | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 19, 2025 | DOGE | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 22, 2025 | DOGE | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 8, 2024 | DOGE | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Doge | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “DOGE”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “DOGE” at 2 of 10 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 16, 2024 (20%), most recently on Aug 11, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “DOGE” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘DOGE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/doge (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=doge · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP