Will Donald Trump say “Congo”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Congo” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 28, 2024 (82%), most recently on Apr 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Congo
- Probability
- 43% · n=11
- Settled
- 9/11 (82%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…young lady who nobody ever heard of. I settled Kosovo, Serbia, the Congo and Rwanda. These were raging wars. Pakistan and India. Remember they were…
…settlement, Cambodia and Thailand, Kosovo and Serbia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Rwanda, Pakistan and India, Armenia and Azerbaijan. And of course, the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Congo |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Congo |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Congo | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 21, 2025 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Congo | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Congo”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Congo” at 9 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 28, 2024 (82%), most recently on Apr 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Congo” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Congo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/congo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=congo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP