Will Donald Trump say “Deranged”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Deranged” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 18, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Apr 14, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Deranged
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We also have to defeat deranged Angie Nixon, who voted in favor of deadly sanctuary cities, and she even voted against punishing illegal aliens who…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Deranged |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Deranged”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Deranged” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 18, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Deranged” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Deranged’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/deranged (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=deranged · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP