Will Donald Trump say “Yemen / Houthi”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Yemen / Houthi” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Yemen / Houthi
- Probability
- 35% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a bill to bring armies of migrants from terrorinfested countries like Libya, Yemen, Haiti, Somalia. Remember I remember what I called them? House countries. Remember…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yemen / Houthi |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Yemen / Houthi |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Yemen / Houthi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Houthi / Yemen | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Yemen / Houthi | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Yemen / Houthi”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Yemen / Houthi” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Yemen / Houthi” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Yemen / Houthi’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/houthi-or-yemen (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=houthi%20%2F%20yemen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP