Will Donald Trump say “Trump” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump” 5+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Trump 5+ times
- Probability
- 50% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in a while. I haven't seen these guys. You know, blacks for Trump. They called They are great. Everyone said, "Did you pay them?" I…
…said one thing. I said, let's say that my mother, Mary Mloud, Trump called me a liar and much worse. The liar was the nicest…
…service overrun by thieves and pirates, predators, and foreign criminals. Under the Trump administration, we have marshaled the full force of the federal government to…
…to give them credit. It takes courage to do that at a Trump rally. He got whacked just he he started, you know, that screech,…
…make everyone aware of this, and it launched a revolution. And President Trump did what only President Trump could have, which is turned the entire…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Trump 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 13 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Trump 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump” 5+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Trump 5+ times” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Trump 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP