Will Donald Trump say “Drug” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Drug” 15+ times at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 12, 2025 (33%), most recently on May 12, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Drug 15+ times
- Probability
- 36% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I got most favored nation agreements to reduce the cost of prescription drugs from the highest drug price in the history of our country to…
…to evade capture. He's explaining to them how to evade capture, murderers, drug dealers, how to evade capture. This is not working for Iowa. He…
…all over the world prisons. They emptied out their prisons. They were drug dealers. They were murderers. 11,888 murders. And I'll tell you what, it's…
…much of this region to be dominated by vicious gangs and bloodthirsty drug cartels, destabilized by uncontrolled migration and infiltrated by hostile foreign adversaries, foreign…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Drug 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Drug 15+ times | Polymarket | No |
| May 12, 2025 | Drug 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Drug 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Drug” 15+ times at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 12, 2025 (33%), most recently on May 12, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Drug 15+ times” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Drug 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/drug-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=drug%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP