Will Donald Trump say “Trump derangement / Trump deranged”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump derangement / Trump deranged” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
- Probability
- 44% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…different kind of a guy than me. But running against me with Trump derangements, they would consider this to be the single greatest ad in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Trump derangement / Trump deranged |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Trump derangement / Trump deranged | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Trump derangement / Trump deranged”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trump derangement / Trump deranged” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 29, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Trump derangement / Trump deranged” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Trump derangement / Trump deranged’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/trump-deranged-or-trump-derangement (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trump%20deranged%20%2F%20trump%20derangement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP