Will Donald Trump say “Bomber / Bomb”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bomber / Bomb” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bomber / Bomb
- Probability
- 39% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I hope the Europeans realize that Iran's goal was to complete their mad dash to a nuclear bomb from behind this conventional ballistic missile shield.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | Bomber / Bomb |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Bomb / Bomber | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bomb / Bomber | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bomber / Bomb”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bomber / Bomb” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bomber / Bomb” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bomber / Bomb’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bomb-or-bomber (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bomb%20%2F%20bomber · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP