# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · posts_window by 2026-03-29 (settled) · 24 words · P p:what-will-trump-post-this-week-march-23-march-29 · as_of 2026-10-25T13:48:46Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-29 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 posts window transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-post-this-week-march-23-march-29 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage the post archive does not cover the window (as of 2026-10-21T04:05:46Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Texas	texa	8	4	0.5	nnYnnYYY	1	1	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
NATO	nato	55	28	0.51	nnYYYYnnnY	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Terrorist	terrorist	12	6	0.5	YYnYnnnnYY	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Nasty	nasty	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	0	0	no	1
Bomb / Bomber	bomb|bomber	0	0			1	1	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
FBI	fbi	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	1	0	0.44	hist	0	0	yes	1
Peace Through Strength	peace through strength	10	3	0.3	YnnnYnnnnY	1	1	0.44	hist	0	0	yes	1
Impeach / Impeachment	impeach|impeachment	0	0			1	0	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	121	50	0.41	YYnnnnnnnY	1	1	0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
Fool	fool	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	yes	1
Boeing	boeing	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	1	0	0.38	hist	0	0	no	1
Spain	spain	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.37	hist	0	0	no	1
Ballroom	ballroom	40	11	0.28	nnnnnYnnnY	1	0	0.36	hist	0	0	no	1
Excursion	excursion	8	1	0.12	nYnnnnnn	1	0	0.35	hist	0	0	no	1
Panican	panican	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.34	hist	0	0	no	1
Ayatollah / Khamenei	ayatollah|khamenei	15	1	0.07	nnnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.33	hist	0	0	no	1
Democrat Shutdown	democrat shutdown	9	4	0.44	YYYYnnnnn	1	1	0.32	hist	0	0	no	1
Epic Fury	epic fury	24	9	0.38	nnnnnYYnnY	1	0	0.31	hist	0	0	no	1
Bully of the Middle East	bully of the middle east	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN	cnn fake new|fake news cnn	0	0			1	1	0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
Congresswoman	congresswoman	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	0	0	yes	1
Evil Empire	evil empire	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
Free Tina Peters	free tina peter	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	0	0	no	1
Trump derangement / Trump deranged	trump deranged|trump derangement	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	0	0	no	1