Will Donald Trump say “Bully of the Middle East”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bully of the Middle East” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bully of the Middle East
- Probability
- 39% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bully of the Middle East |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bully of the Middle East | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bully of the Middle East | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bully of the Middle East”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Bully of the Middle East” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bully of the Middle East” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bully of the Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bully-of-the-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bully%20of%20the%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP